What it shows
Each row is one driver-season rating:- Era-adjusted rating: a Bayesian-shrunk seasonal residual, offset by the era shift estimated from 20 bridge drivers who raced on both sides of the 2022 boundary. Negative = faster than the era-normalised field average.
- 95% CI: propagates both within-season sampling uncertainty and the era-offset uncertainty. A wider interval means fewer qualifying seasons for the bridge anchor or fewer clean laps for the driver.
- Bridge anchor (★): drivers with ≥8 clean-race seasons spanning pre- and post-2022, used to anchor the era shift. Their ratings are the most directly comparable across eras.
A minimum of 5 races is required for a driver-season to appear, so part-season cameos are excluded.
How to use it
- Select a season to rank that year, or compare ratings across seasons on the shared scale.
- Look for the ★ bridge-anchored ratings are the safest to compare across eras.
- Read the CI before ranking two adjacent rows; overlapping intervals are a statistical tie.
- Export the data to build your own cross-era comparisons.
Reading the signal correctly
The rating is era-normalised and relative it answers “how far ahead of their own era’s field was this driver?”, not “what lap time would they set today?”. The cross-era comparison rests entirely on the bridge-driver offset.Data source
The chart queriesint_era_normalized_driver_rating via DuckDB-Wasm in the browser.
The data window covers 2018–2024.
For the full model definition, see the
int_era_normalized_driver_rating reference.